For a 6 point touchdown pass league, it’s time to just draft a quarterback with your first pick. Top QBs are almost guaranteed to score a ton of points. They rarely get injured except for Brady’s fluke season in 2008. In fact all the top quarterbacks in the game did not miss a game due to injury: Brady, Rodgers, Newton, Eli, Brees and Stafford. You also know guys like Brady, Rodgers and Brees are going to lead the league in passing stats every year. It’s as certain as Rex Ryan saying his Jets are going to the Super Bowl.
However if you drafted a Running Back in the first round you dealt with many injuries including a season ender in the beginning with Jamaal Charles. Adrian Foster missed the beginning of the season. McFadden was out more than half the season. “All Day” was out for the fantasy playoffs, Matt Forte missed much of the 2nd half and Chris Johnson(a top 5 pick) was a bust. You know Brees or Brady or Rogers and all the top guys won’t be busts. So the top 3 picks of many drafts this past year: Peterson, Foster, and Charles all missed time. Even McCoy who went #3 or #4 overall missed the last game of the season due to injury.
You can then pick a Running Back and get a good one like Frank Gore or Michael Turner. And if a bunch of people go QB#1 the the pickens will be even better for you. After the first couple rounds guys like Matt Forte who was a leading fantasy RB until he got hurt can be had. You are also more likely to pick up a great RB off of waivers like Willis McGahee or DeMarco Murray(both of whom got injured) over a great QB. So it’s time to buck the long trend of drafting a RB first and time to get guaranteed points with a much lesser chance of injury or bust.